Bill Gates Predicts Significant Adoption of Artificial Intelligence in the Next 18-24 Months

Bill Gates Predicts Significant Adoption of Artificial Intelligence in the Next 18-24 Months

Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates believes that the use of artificial intelligence (AI) by the general population in developed countries, such as the US, will reach a “significant” level within the next two years. Gates emphasizes the potential impact of AI on productivity and innovation, stating that it will accelerate the rate of new discoveries like never before.

In his year-end letter, Bill Gates, philanthropist and co-founder of Microsoft, expressed his belief that the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) by the general population in developed countries is imminent. Gates highlights the unprecedented potential of AI to drive new discoveries and revolutionize various industries. He also emphasizes the importance of leveraging AI to address pressing global health issues in the developing world.

AI in the Developing World:

While Gates acknowledges that the practical implementation of AI will take place in the latter years of this decade, he focuses on the potential applications of AI in the developing world. The Gates Foundation, which he formed with Melinda French Gates, is prioritizing the use of AI to address health issues that disproportionately affect impoverished communities, such as AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria.

Examples of AI Applications:

Gates cites several examples of AI applications in his letter, showcasing their potential impact on education and healthcare in different countries. These examples include:

1. Fighting Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR): A researcher in Ghana is developing a software tool that analyzes local clinical guidelines and health surveillance data to recommend the most effective drugs, dosages, and durations for combating AMR.

2. Personalized Education: An AI-based tutoring software program called “Somanasi” is being used in Nairobi, designed with the cultural context in mind to provide familiar learning experiences for students.

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3. Improving Maternal Health: In India, a health worker “Copilot” software program is being developed to assist nurses and midwives in reducing risks during pregnancies. The program adapts to the experience level of the aid worker, aiming to improve outcomes for new mothers.

4. HIV Risk Assessment: A chatbot is being developed to provide unbiased and nonjudgmental counseling to marginalized and vulnerable populations, who may be hesitant to discuss their sexual history with physicians.

5. Voice-Powered Health Records: In Pakistan, a voice-powered mobile app allows health workers to fill out medical health records by speaking into a prompt, addressing the issue of undocumented medical history.

Tailoring AI to Local Contexts:

Gates emphasizes the importance of building AI applications that are tailored to the specific needs and realities of each country. For instance, the voice input feature in the Pakistan health records app aligns with the common practice of sending voice messages on mobile devices, making it more accessible and user-friendly.


Bill Gates predicts that within the next 18-24 months, the general population in high-income countries like the US will witness significant levels of AI adoption. He also expects a comparable level of AI use in African countries within three years. Gates highlights the potential of AI to drive innovation and improve productivity while underscoring the need to ensure that AI tools address the pressing health issues faced by the world’s poorest communities. As AI continues to advance, it is crucial to harness its power in a way that is equitable, inclusive, and tailored to the unique needs of each population.

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